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South Asia’s growth outpaces expectations


Growth in South Asia is expected to increase to

6.4 percent this year, exceeding earlier projections and keeping the region

on track to be the fastest growing in the world, according to the World Bank

(WB).

Unlocking untapped potential by increasing women’s participation in the labor

force and opening further to global trade and investment could help the

region grow even faster and achieve its development goals, said the WB in its

twice-yearly regional outlook.

Released today, the latest South Asia Development Update, Women, Jobs, and

Growth forecasts a broad-based upturn in the region, supported by strong

domestic demand in India and faster recoveries in most other South Asian

countries, said a World Bank press release.

Growth is expected to remain robust at 6.2 percent a year for the next two

years. This forecast is subject to downside risks including extreme weather,

debt distress, and social unrest.

Policy missteps such as delays in planned reforms could also set the region

back. Fragile f
iscal and external positions leave little buffer against these

risks. “South Asia’s outlook is undoubtedly promising, but the region could

do more to realize its full economic potential,” said Martin Raiser, World

Bank Vice President for South Asia.

“Key policy reforms to integrate more women into the workforce and remove

barriers to global investment and trade can accelerate growth. Our research

shows that raising female labor force participation rates in the region to

those of men would increase regional GDP by up to 51 percent.” he added.

Female labor force participation in South Asia is among the lowest in the

world. Only 32 percent of working-age women were in the labor force in 2023,

compared to 77 percent of working-age men in the region.

For all South Asian countries except Bhutan, female labor force participation

rates in 2023 were 5 to 25 percentage points lower than in countries at

similar levels of development.

This shortfall in the female labor force is most pronounced after marriag
e.

On average, once married, women in South Asia reduce their participation in

the workforce by 12 percentage points, even before they have children.

The shift toward service activities, usually associated with greater demand

for female labor, has not yet led to higher levels of female employment in

the region, and firms often state an explicit preference for male workers.

Supply-side constraints such as childcare access, mobility and safety, legal

restrictions, and conservative gender norms are also significant barriers.

“South Asia’s female labor force participation rate of 32 percent is well

below the 54 percent average in emerging market and developing economies,”

said Franziska Ohnsorge, World Bank Chief Economist for South Asia.

“Increasing women’s employment requires action from all stakeholders. Our

report recommends a multi-pronged effort where governments, the private

sector, communities and households all have a role to play.” added the

official.

The report’s recommendations include
legal reforms to improve gender

equality, measures to accelerate job creation, and removal of barriers to

women working outside the home such as lack of safe transport and quality

child and elder care.

Such measures could be more effective if social norms became more accepting

of female employment. Another key area of reform is increasing trade

openness. Most countries in South Asia rank among the least open to global

trade and investment.

This greatly limits the region’s ability to take advantage of the reshaping

of global supply chains. Within the region, greater export orientation has

been linked to greater female employment.

Therefore, increased openness could help the region spur growth as well as

boost job creation, especially for women, said the outlook.

Source: Bangladesh Sangbad Sangstha